← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 58% | 48% | 1.69 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.89 | value: +9% |
| Kortrijk win | 17% | 24% | 5.67 | value: +36% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1323.00 | 1292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1653.80 | 1582.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.42 | -9.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.56 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |