← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 62% | 48% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 4.33 | value: +9% |
| Mechelen win | 16% | 27% | 6.17 | value: +65% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2442.00 | 1316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1609.78 | 1536.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.80 | -25.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 53.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.94 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |