← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 78% | 73% | 1.26 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 17% | 6.78 | value: +13% |
| Club Brugge win | 8% | 10% | 12.23 | value: +26% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 548.00 | 2436.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1802.42 | 1613.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.65 | 25.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| league points | 31.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.71 |
| state index | 1.18 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |