← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 49% | 54% | 1.97 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.69 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 24% | 21% | 4.05 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1019.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1559.02 | 1503.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.15 | -7.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 38.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |