← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 54% | 48% | 1.81 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.84 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 21% | 27% | 4.59 | value: +26% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 251.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1517.24 | 1671.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.10 | 8.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.68 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |