← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 65% | 69% | 1.49 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | 4.45 | fair |
| Charleroi win | 13% | 11% | 7.51 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1043.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1661.57 | 1452.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.55 | 6.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| league points | 47.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.07 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |