← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 53% | 54% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.85 | fair |
| Gent win | 22% | 23% | 4.42 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 557.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1687.27 | 1599.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.17 | 26.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| state index | 1.09 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |