← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 67% | 69% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | 4.83 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 13% | 11% | 7.40 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1497.49 | 1867.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.70 | 18.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 26.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.33 |
| state index | -0.03 | 1.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |