← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 55% | 64% | 1.78 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | 3.89 | fair |
| Standard win | 20% | 14% | 4.84 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1874.19 | 1672.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.02 | 5.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| league points | 55.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.39 | 1.75 |
| state index | 2.26 | 0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |