← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waasland-Beveren win | 38% | 34% | 2.54 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 34% | 39% | 2.85 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.54 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1497.82 | 1524.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.12 | -25.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 23.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |