← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 52% | 53% | 1.88 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.73 | fair |
| Lokeren win | 22% | 22% | 4.44 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1001.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1686.12 | 1864.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.27 | 25.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| league points | 43.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 30.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 2.36 |
| state index | 1.18 | 2.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |