← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 52% | 56% | 1.88 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.52 | fair |
| Germinal win | 20% | 18% | 4.78 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Germinal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 963.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1576.04 | 1447.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.41 | -47.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 29.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| state index | -0.45 | -1.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |