← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 38% | 39% | 2.59 | fair |
| Standard win | 34% | 34% | 2.83 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 18.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1572.01 | 1664.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.99 | 13.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| league points | 22.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| state index | -0.74 | 1.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |