← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Wed, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 62% | 45% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | 4.30 | value: +20% |
| Kortrijk win | 15% | 27% | 6.39 | value: +75% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2096.00 | 939.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1604.96 | 1573.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.89 | -43.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 49.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.95 | -0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |