← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 51% | 56% | 1.93 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.86 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 24% | 21% | 4.05 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 175.00 | 2093.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1679.19 | 1583.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.47 | 23.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| state index | 1.54 | 0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |