← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 43% | 45% | 2.27 | fair |
| Genk win | 29% | 29% | 3.34 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 481.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1677.32 | 1851.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.63 | 22.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.30 |
| state index | 0.50 | 1.79 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |