← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 38% | 39% | 2.57 | fair |
| Genk win | 35% | 33% | 2.80 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.58 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 381.00 | 474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1622.08 | 1687.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.28 | 1.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |