← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 81% | 79% | 1.19 | fair |
| Draw | 13% | 14% | 7.67 | value: +4% |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 6% | 7% | 16.17 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 198.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1849.28 | 1551.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.06 | -12.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.26 | 1.42 |
| state index | 2.15 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |