← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 46% | 37% | 2.13 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.54 | fair |
| Germinal win | 26% | 37% | 3.71 | value: +37% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Germinal | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2079.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1499.48 | 1558.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.14 | -12.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 18.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |