← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 70% | 75% | 1.39 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 19% | 16% | 5.07 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 11% | 8% | 8.90 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 526.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1616.78 | 1454.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.64 | -3.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.78 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |