← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 53% | 55% | 1.85 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | 4.01 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 23% | 24% | 4.26 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2078.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1560.07 | 1549.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.65 | -24.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.44 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |