← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sun, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 57% | 51% | 1.71 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.05 | value: +7% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 19% | 23% | 5.16 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1464.50 | 1650.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.62 | 30.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| league points | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.53 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |