← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 61% | 54% | 1.59 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | 4.41 | value: +4% |
| Mechelen win | 17% | 22% | 5.80 | value: +28% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2071.00 | 945.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1562.61 | 1532.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.55 | -33.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 36.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |