← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 79% | 72% | 1.23 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 18% | 6.90 | value: +25% |
| Club Brugge win | 7% | 10% | 14.00 | value: +43% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 183.00 | 2071.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1838.61 | 1565.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.59 | 26.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 1.13 |
| state index | 2.20 | 0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |