← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 64% | 61% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 4.59 | value: +6% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 15% | 16% | 6.40 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 938.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1546.80 | 1450.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.73 | -26.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |