← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 45% | 46% | 2.16 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 28% | 26% | 3.53 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.58 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 907.00 | 2064.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1616.90 | 1570.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.54 | 22.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 25.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.10 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |