← Jupiler Pro League 2012-13 · Sat, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen win | 39% | 41% | 2.47 | fair |
| Lokeren win | 33% | 35% | 2.96 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | 3.54 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bergen | Lokeren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 938.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1533.11 | 1668.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.26 | 37.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 24.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| state index | 0.36 | 1.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |