← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Wed, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 42% | 39% | 2.20 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 30% | 33% | 3.10 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 690.00 | 1816.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1619.57 | 1673.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.48 | -0.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 41.00 | 98.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.84 |
| state index | 1.19 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |