← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Wed, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 76% | 73% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 19% | 6.50 | value: +23% |
| Waregem win | 9% | 8% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2455.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1840.77 | 1542.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.45 | 5.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 64.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.21 | 1.03 |
| state index | 1.64 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |