← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 50% | 46% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.60 | fair |
| Standard win | 23% | 26% | 4.20 | value: +11% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1799.00 | 1372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1661.70 | 1647.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.41 | -12.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 95.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |