← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 71% | 66% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 22% | 5.25 | value: +15% |
| Club Brugge win | 10% | 12% | 10.00 | value: +21% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2438.00 | 1799.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1840.83 | 1669.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.47 | 2.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| league points | 60.00 | 98.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.22 | 1.83 |
| state index | 1.52 | 0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |