← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sat, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 40% | 56% | 2.40 | value: +34% ⚠ |
| Waregem win | 31% | 18% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1791.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1680.07 | 1545.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.77 | 33.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 92.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.04 |
| state index | 1.31 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |