← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 65% | 51% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | 4.33 | value: +21% |
| Kortrijk win | 12% | 21% | 8.50 | value: +81% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1785.00 | 628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1673.79 | 1598.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.29 | -0.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 89.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.60 |
| state index | 1.13 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |