← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sat, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 40% | 41% | 2.40 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 33% | 32% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1784.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1494.97 | 1666.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.02 | 33.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 25.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.79 |
| state index | -0.41 | 1.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |