← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 40% | 41% | 2.38 | fair |
| Standard win | 31% | 29% | 3.20 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1351.00 | 2417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1681.11 | 1838.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.02 | 22.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| league points | 44.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| state index | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |