← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 46% | 58% | 2.10 | value: +22% |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | 3.40 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 26% | 19% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 226.00 | 1778.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| elo | 1722.94 | 1646.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.64 | 12.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.77 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |