← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 39% | 28% | 2.40 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 32% | 44% | 2.90 | value: +28% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1764.00 | 1337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1633.45 | 1660.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.98 | -5.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 74.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |