← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sat, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 57% | 55% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | 3.75 | fair |
| Germinal win | 18% | 18% | 5.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Germinal | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1541.18 | 1837.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.59 | 17.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| league points | 28.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 2.23 |
| state index | -0.14 | 1.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |