← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Wed, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 39% | 34% | 2.50 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 33% | 38% | 3.00 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1504.00 | 1592.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.99 | -6.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 22.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |