← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Tue, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 58% | 61% | 1.65 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | 4.00 | fair |
| Gent win | 18% | 17% | 5.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2398.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1829.10 | 1721.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.55 | -23.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.90 |
| state index | 1.40 | 0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |