← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sat, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 50% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 24% | 22% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 599.00 | 2395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1598.50 | 1823.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.86 | -20.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 2.15 |
| state index | 0.68 | 1.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |