← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Mon, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 57% | 61% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.75 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 19% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 604.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1567.74 | 1423.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.47 | -3.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.61 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |