← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Mon, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 68% | 58% | 1.40 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 25% | 4.50 | value: +11% |
| Waregem win | 12% | 17% | 8.00 | value: +38% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1730.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1655.58 | 1506.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.94 | -14.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 61.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 0.83 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.74 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |