← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 58% | 47% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.80 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 17% | 28% | 6.00 | value: +65% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1722.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1479.42 | 1676.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.45 | 0.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| league points | 16.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.85 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |