← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 71% | 78% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
| Lokeren win | 10% | 6% | 10.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Lokeren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2361.00 | 596.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1819.61 | 1570.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.12 | 19.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 36.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.12 |
| state index | 0.98 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |