← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sat, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 39% | 37% | 2.40 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 32% | 35% | 2.90 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 107.00 | 595.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1421.44 | 1548.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.07 | -0.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |