← Jupiler Pro League 2011-12 · Sun, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 74% | 74% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | 6.00 | fair |
| St Truiden win | 9% | 9% | 10.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1715.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1683.99 | 1424.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.21 | 6.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 58.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 0.63 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |