← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Wed, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 38% | 48% | 2.50 | value: +20% |
| Charleroi win | 34% | 26% | 2.90 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 203.00 | 1452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1429.21 | 1629.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.37 | -8.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 19.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.66 | 1.51 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |