← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 50% | 59% | 1.85 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | 3.50 | fair |
| Lierse win | 24% | 19% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lierse | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1449.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1433.42 | 1633.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.36 | -18.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 23.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.52 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |