← Jupiler Pro League 2010-11 · Sat, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 62% | 73% | 1.53 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 22% | 18% | 4.20 | fair |
| AS Eupen win | 15% | 9% | 6.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 192.00 | 2080.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1469.50 | 1834.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.02 | -30.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 22.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 2.18 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.96 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |